GPM Roundup: Youth Unemployment, Huawei Ban in Canada, and Turkish Involvement in the Syrian Civil War

The Geopolitics of Youth Unemployment
Nearly three years removed from the onset of the Great Recession, we are now faced with a global economy that has uncoupled itself from the conventional laws of cyclical economics. This impressive feat was accomplished through a combination of quantitative easing and public stimulus, coordinated by various national governments around the world. They accomplished their immediate goal of stemming the tide of global economic contraction, yet no one can be certain as to the extent of their success because of the uncharted economic territory that we find ourselves in; where contradictory economic signs emerge on a daily basis.

Red Star over Canada’s Networks: Huawei or the Highway
This Monday, a US House Intelligence Committee report was published outlining the case for banning Huawei and ZTE, two major Chinese telecoms, from network infrastructure building in the United States. The report argued that potential ties between these companies and the Chinese government represented a national security risk. If Huawei or ZTE were allowed to lay critical infrastructure in the United States, they might plant secret backdoors or data mining processes in network hardware at the behest of the Chinese government, thus creating a security risk in the event of a future conflict between the two countries.

Decoding Turkish Involvement in the Syrian Civil War
This week’s cross-border mortar attack and subsequent artillery retaliation along the Syria-Turkey border seems to harken what many analysts have been predicting for a long time: violence from the Syrian Civil War spilling its borders. The original mortar attack from the Syrian side of the border occurred on Thursday October 5th, striking the Turkish town of Akcakala and killing five Turkish citizens, including a woman and three children. Turkish armed forces then retaliated with a volley of artillery fire into the area of Syria where the mortar attack was thought to have originated.

GPM Roundup: East Asian Nationalism, Canada’s Quest for Trade Diversity, and the Afghan Phantom Ally

A Tale of Three East Asian Nationalisms
Nationalism in East Asia is often portrayed as a phenomenon unto its own; something that waxes and wanes in isolation of top-down political manipulation. While there is some truth to this, for history is littered with examples of nationalist forces that spontaneously spin out of control, this oversimplification misses an important point in the East Asian context: outward displays of nationalist rage are often the direct result of domestic politics in China, South Korea, and Japan.

Canada and the Long Road to Trade Diversity
Canadian attitudes towards their geography wax and wane as sure as the tide: sometimes proximity to the world’s foremost economic and military power is a blessing, and other times a curse. Against the backdrop of these changing opinions, Canada’s economic destiny has remained firmly fused to that of its North American neighbor. But will Asia’s emergence as a new global center of gravity change all that?

Afghanistan: America’s Major Nonexistant Ally
Back in July, Secretary of State Hillary Clinton made it official: Afghanistan is now a Major non-NATO Ally (MNNA), a classification that all but ensures that defense and development aid will continue to flow through 2014 and beyond. Is this good policy or an exhausted administration tugging on its very own geopolitical Gordian Knot?

The Matchless Orinda

A beautiful poem by Katherine Philips that I came across while slogging through Keats:

I have examined and do find
of all that favour me
There’s none I grieve to leave behind
But only, only thee
To part with thee I needs must die
Could parting sep’rate thee and I

But neither chance nor Compliment
did element our Love;
‘Twas sacred sympathy was lent
Us from the Quire above.
that friendship fortune did create,
Still fears a wound from time or fate.

Our chang’d and mingled souls are grown
to such aquaintance now,
That if would resume her own
Alas! we know not how.
We have each other so engrost
That each is in the union lost.
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GPM Article Update – Bo Xilai, ASEAN’s Flop, and China’s Next Ruling Class

Lessons from the Fall of Bo Xilai
The go-to media narrative of the fall of Bo Xilai declares that it’s the most important political event to occur China since the Tiananmen Square protests of 1989. That may well be true, but there is more to be gleaned from the story than one man’s fall from grace.

ASEAN Fallout: What to Expect in the South China Sea
Forty-five years of continuous tradition came to an abrupt end last week when the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) summit in Phnom Penh closed without agreeing on a joint declaration. Here’s what to expect in the aftermath of political deadlock in the world’s most apolitical bloc.

Dossier: Xi Jinping and China’s New Leadership
The 18th National Congress of the Communist Party of China will convene this autumn as the culmination of a secretive transfer of power at the very top of the Communist Party (CCP). This dossier will help introduce the people who are poised to ascend to this highest level where all critical decision making in China takes place.